Burnley vs Chelsea: Premier League Gameweek 12 Prediction & Preview

Burnley vs Chelsea clash at Turf Moor on Saturday, November 22, 2025, serves an exciting early kick-off Premier League Gameweek 12 encounter. The Clarets desperately need points to escape the relegation zone, while the Blues aim to cement their top-four position.

Match Details

Fixture: Burnley vs Chelsea
Competition: Premier League (Gameweek 12, 2025/26 Season)
Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley
Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
Kick-Off: 12:30 BST (14:30 EAT)

Burnley vs Chelsea Prediction: Can the Clarets Upset the Blues?

Burnley host Chelsea at Turf Moor in a must-win fixture for the struggling Clarets. Scott Parker's side sits precariously in 17th place with just 10 points from 11 matches, having already conceded 22 goals this season.

The Clarets are coming off a 3-2 loss to Westham United thanks to late strikes from substitutes Tomas Soucek (77) and Kyle Walker-Peters(87). Zian Flemming had put Burnley ahead in 35th minute after heading home Ugochukwu's cross and Josh cullen scored in 90+3 but it was not enough to deny Westham the maximum points. Manager Scott Parker expressed his frustration citing that the team lost due to lack of concentration.

Chelsea, currently 3rd with 20 points, are battling to maintain their Champions League qualification hopes as one of the "best of the rest" contenders. Chelsea put in a commanding performance to secure 3-0 victory over Wolves in the previous fixture at Stamford Bridge. The blues enjoyed a 64%possession translating to dominating the game from start to finish. Alejandro Garnacho was the standout performer setting up Malo Gusto with a pinpoint cross and Pedro Neto for their goals. His creativity, pace and vision were crucial in breaking down Wolves' low block. 

Premier League Standings: A Tale of Two Seasons

The gulf in quality is evident. Chelsea's squad depth and individual talent contrast sharply with Burnley's defensive fragility, making this a David vs Goliath encounter at Turf Moor.

Burnley vs Chelsea Recent Form

Chelsea Form (Last 5): W-D-W-W-L (2.0 PPG)
Burnley Form (Last 5): L-L-W-W-L (1.2 PPG)

The Blues have shown inconsistency but possess match-winners throughout their squad. Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities have been ruthlessly exposed, with 22 goals conceded highlighting their struggle to adapt to Premier League intensity.

Head-to-Head: Chelsea Dominance Expected

There has been a total of 19 matches for this fixture, Chelsea have won 13 of the matches, Burnley 1 win and 6 matches ended in a draw. Chelsea historically dominates this fixture, controlling possession and dictating tempo and similar dominance is expected at Turf Moor. 

The last meeting saw Chelsea and Burnley draw 2-2 at Stamford Bridge in the 2024/25 season.

2024/03/30 Chelsea 2-2 Burnley

2023/10/07 Burnley 1-4 Chelsea

2022/03/05 Burnley 0-4 Chelsea

Team News & Injury Updates

Chelsea

Manager Enzo Maresca faces challenges with an ever-changing central defence and the notable absence of Cole Palmer ( key absence). However, Chelsea's significant squad depth provides multiple solutions to compensate for missing players.

Romeo Lavia - Out

Levi Colwill (Knee) - Out

Benoit Badiashile (Muscle) - To be assessed

Dario Essugo (Thigh) - Out

Cole Palmer (Groin) - Out

Pedro Neto (Groin) - Doubt

Enzo Fernandez (Knee) - Doubt

Burnley

The Clarets will battle with determination, but their defensive record tells a worrying story. With 22 goals conceded in 11 Premier League matches, Burnley urgently needs to find defensive stability to avoid relegation.

Conor Roberts (Knock) - doubt

Jordan Beyer (Knee) - Out

Zeki Amdouni (Knee) -

Tactical Breakdown: What to Expect at Turf Moor

Chelsea's Approach

Expect possession-dominant football from the Blues, exploiting Burnley's leaky defence through:

• High-positioned full-backs providing width
• Quick, intricate passing through central areas
• Numerical superiority in attacking transitions
• Exploiting space behind Burnley's defensive line

Burnley's Game Plan

Scott Parker must organize a disciplined defensive structure:

• Compact low block to minimize space
• Quick counter-attacks exploiting Chelsea's high line
• Utilizing Turf Moor's passionate atmosphere
• Set-piece opportunities as key scoring chances

Key Players to Watch

Chelsea: Estevao must step up to unlock Burnley's defence through creative play and clinical finishing.

Burnley: Martin Dibravka(Gk) and Walker. Axel Tuanzebe, Esteve, Hartman need a flawless performance to keep the scoreline respectable and give their attackers a platform to work from.

Probable Starting Line-ups

Chelsea (4-2-3-1)

GK: Sanchez
DEF: Gusto, Fofana,  Chalobah, Cucurella
MID: Caicedo, Enzo Fernández
FWD: Estevao, Pedro, Garnacho
ST: Delap

Burnley (4-2-3-1)

GK: M. Dubravka
DEF: K.Walker, A. Tuanzebe, M. Esteve, Q. Hartman
MID:J.Cullen, Florentino, Anthony, Ugochukwu, Tchaouna
FWD: Flemming

Burnley vs Chelsea Final Score Prediction

Given Burnley's dreadful defensive record and Chelsea's superior individual quality, the Blues are overwhelming favourites despite their own inconsistencies. Chelsea's attacking talent should prove decisive against the struggling Clarets.

Final Score Prediction: Burnley 0-2 Chelsea

Burnley vs Chelsea Betting Tips

• Chelsea to win & Under 3.5 goals ⚽
• Chelsea to win to nil 🛡️
• First Goalscorer: Garnacho 🎯

Why This Premier League Match Matters

For Chelsea

A victory is essential to maintain their top-four pursuit and strengthen their case as the "best of the rest" behind Manchester City and Arsenal. Three points would provide momentum in the Champions League qualification race.

For Burnley

The Clarets desperately need points to escape the relegation zone. A heavy defeat could further damage morale in what's shaping up to be a challenging relegation battle. They must find a formula to convert performances into precious Premier League points.

Follow Monlin Sports for more Premier League predictions, match previews, and betting tips throughout the 2025/26 season.